Given that we would usually be watching the Awards today – what are peoples thoughts on some of the odds floating around?
Lots of awards shortened after previous discussions (Chadwick Boseman), however Francis McDormand (Nomadland) is still sitting at 6-1 on bet365 while most other books have it shorter (3.5 or 4-1) which I feel is more a coin flip between her performance and Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) sitting at 2.5-1. Naturally Francis should be far shorter, and there is definitely money to be made off this performance with odds that high.
While I feel Francis McDormand had a far better performance in a movie that would definitely solidify an award (it’s strong, solemn, methodical in its approach and a better performance than Three Billboards) and it gets my vote. Putting personal opinion aside however, the Academy might swing and is generally swayed towards righting wrongs and the popular vote in light of #metoo and the strong message Promising Young Woman portrays.
I think Viola Davis will be overshadowed by Chadwick Boseman’s performance, as the whole movie eventually was, so I don’t think it holds up being a favourite or as short as it should be.
Also an interesting toss up in the Supporting Actor too, and while I thoroughly rate Daniel Kaluuya – I do believe Lesie Odom Jr.’s performance is worthy (he really brought that movie home). I think this will come down to how tired the Academy feels towards awards given for portrayals of musicians and once again another 50-50 thats better reflected with current odds.
Appreciate people’s thoughts on this – would like to see if there’s any other opinions out before the Awards start rolling in and things shorten up.