Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Lineup Strategy for Heat vs. Jazz Showdown …

A great day of sports on Saturday comes to an end in Utah, where the Miami Heat take on the Utah Jazz in the NBA’s Saturday nightcap. Both teams come in hot — Miami has won four in a row, while Utah is on an absolute tear, winning a whopping 16 of 17. The Jazz have toppled some of the best defenses in the league, so the sixth-ranked scoring defense in the NBA shouldn’t faze them. It should make for a good, fun game and a challenging showdown to attack. Let’s get into how to construct your Showdown lineups for Saturday evening.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $100K Fadeaway [$25K to 1st] (MIA vs UTA)


Captain

Donovan Mitchell ($14,700 CP)

Mitchell’s usage rate has been north of 30 for the past four games and his minutes have spiked as well to the tune of 36.7 per game. As a result, Mitchell has had three pretty solid outings in a row after a so-so stretch prior to that. I’m not sure if the totality of Mitchell’s past 10 games will drive people away from owning him, but I’m hoping that it will take his ownership down a notch considering he’s got a great matchup Here. Miami’s allowed the most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards, and the most threes per game (4.3) as well.

Rudy Gobert ($13,200 CP)

So, if you see a theme developing here, that’s because I think the Jazz are the clearly superior side, so I’m going to grab one of their studs for the captain’s spot. Gobert should see all the minutes he can handle as Utah tries to combat Bam Adebayo ($10.000), the greatest weapon which Miami possesses. Afforded a boatload of playing time over the past two games, Gobert has averaged close to 47 DKFP in 35 minutes per game.


Fades

Duncan Robinson ($5,200)

If there’s one thing the Jazz do best, it’s neutralizing shooters. They are preventing the three-ball at the fifth-best rate in the league, and all of Robinson’s value lies in the fact that he will take 10-plus 3-pointers in a lot of games and has the potential at any point to go on a hot streak. I hate the price, and I hate the matchup more. He went for just 11.25 DKFP against the Knicks — another elite 3-point defense — and I think that will serve as a good predictor of how his night goes on Saturday.


Value FLEX Options

Bogdan Bogdanovic ($7,400)

It’s hard to argue with the minutes (30.9) which Bogdanovic receives — the third-most on the team — and it’s even more difficult to argue with the matchup here. The Heat are ranked 19th against the three, and that means as bad as Bogdanovic has shot since his 7-for-10 3-point night against Charlotte three games ago, he should be set up for success on Saturday.

Kelly Olynyk ($6,400)

If anyone on the Heat is going to have success, I’m going to put my money on Olynyk, who will go up against one of Utah’s worst defenders in Royce O’Neal ($4,800). Olynyk has been steadily chipping in DKFP around the mid-20s thanks to his tenacious rebounding. O’Neal’s rebounding rate is considerably lower than Gobert’s, so if he is locked in a battle for position with Adebayo, it could clear the way for Olynyk to snatch away some boards.

Max Strus ($2,800)

Here’s the thing about Strus: He was simply too good against the Rockets not to play against Utah. For the second game in a row in which he was afforded 20-plus minutes, Strus eclipsed 20 DKFP and couldn’t miss a shot. Tyler Herro ($7,600) is back, which cuts into Strus’ value, but as a GPP dart, I think he makes sense. Coaches tend to find a spot in the rotation for guys who can produce this level of offense.


The Outcome

The Jazz will wear down the Heat on defense, and continue on their ridiculous roll as Miami’s streak comes to an end. Utah has a clear edge on the glass, and its ability to cool the shooting of Miami will be a huge factor here. Without Robinson, Herro and others pouring in triples, the Heat simply won’t keep up here.

Final Score: Jazz 119, Heat 108

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $100K Fadeaway [$25K to 1st] (MIA vs UTA)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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