First Round Leader Odds and Picks 2021 WGC-Workday Championship

Patrick Reed

Patrick Reed hits from the second tee on the South Course during the final round of the Farmers Insurance Open golf tournament at Torrey Pines, Sunday, Jan. 31, 2021, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
  • The WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession tees off Thursday, February 25th from Bradenton, Florida
  • Dustin Johnson is the favorite to be the first-round leader over Jon Rahm
  • See the best bets and odds to grab the first-round in the article below

After a fantastic Genesis Invitational that saw Max Homa defeat Tony Finau in a two-hole playoff, the PGA Tour heads to The Concession Golf Club to kick off a four-week Florida swing. Normally this tournament is played in Mexico, but with COVID-19 safety concerns, the tour opted to play at this track for the first time in official play.

With 48 of the top 50 players in the world competing, it will be a hotly contested battle for the title with Dustin Johnson the favorite to win outright.

Unsurprisingly, he’s also the favorite to grab the first round lead over Jon Rahm. In this article, we’ll explore which players have the best chance of being the leader after day one and which players to this point of the season have begun tournaments the best on Thursday’s.

2021 WGC-Workday Championship First Round Leader Odds

Golfer Odds Tee Time
Dustin Johnson +1200 11:42am
Jon Rahm +1600 12:48pm
Rory McIlroy +2000 11:31am
Xander Schauffele +2200 11:53am
Patrick Cantlay +2200 12:26pm
Bryson DeChambeau +2200 12:37pm
Justin Thomas +2600 11:31am
Tyrrell Hatton +2600 12:15pm
Tony Finau +2600 12:48pm
Viktor Hovland +2900 12:37pm
Webb Simpson +3100 11:31am
Brooks Koepka +3100 11:42am
Daniel Berger +3100 11:42am
Collin Morikawa +3300 11:31am
Patrick Reed +3300 12:37pm

All odds taken Feb. 24 at FanDuel

The forecast will be virtually identical the entire day, with perfect sunny conditions and 68 degrees late morning moving up to a high of 72. The wind will also be nearly the same throughout Thursday, with wind gusts staying around the twelve mile per-hour range.

With tee times ranging between 10:58am to 1:10pm, the greens won’t be as chewed up or as bumpy as they would in a typical week when there’s both a morning and afternoon wave of players.

Bryson DeChambeau Has Won Here

Given the fact that this golf course hasn’t hosted a PGA Tour event in the past, it’s harder to go on course history for the 72-man field. However, one player who can bash the ball anywhere he wants has won at this track – Bryson DeChambeau.

In the 2015 NCAA Division I Men’s Golf Championship, the ‘Mad Scientist’ took home the individual title by a shot over C.T. Pan and two over Thomas Detry. He also was runner-up at this event last year, albeit in Mexico.

Last week’s opening round 75 at Riviera was his first in five openers that wasn’t 70 or better, as he last led after the first day at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. In his last twelve rounds, Bryson is first in strokes gained tee-to-green in addition to SG: off the tee and third in ball striking.

  • Pick: Bryson DeChambeau (+2200)

Patrick Reed Best In First Round Scoring

He may not be the most popular golfer on the planet, but there’s no denying Patrick Reed comes to play in the biggest tournaments. In his last PGA Tour start, he overcame a controversial ruling to take home the Farmers Insurance Open title, the ninth of his career.

He’s attempting to win this tournament for the third time on his third different golf course, as he’s triumphed at Doral, then last year in Mexico. On the opening day in six events this year, he has five rounds of 68 or better (including a first round co-lead at Torrey Pines), with the worst score being a 70, good for first in scoring average.

2020-21 PGA Tour First Round Scoring Average Leaders

Golfer Average Score
1. Patrick Reed 67.17
2. Patrick Cantlay 67.44
6. Xander Schauffele 68.25
8. Joaquin Niemann 68.33
9. Cameron Smith 68.44
T-10. Jon Rahm 68.75
T-10. Ryan Palmer 68.75
13. Scottie Scheffle 68.82
15. Adam Scott 68.86
T-17. Daniel Berger 68.88
T-17. Webb Simpson 68.88
T-20. Justin Thomas 69.00
T-20. Bryson DeChambeau 69.00
28. Jason Kokrak 69.10
29. Louis Oosthuizen 69.14

He’s seventh in total strokes gained and fifth in putting in his last 24 rounds on Tour, and you’re getting him at solid odds given his recent success.

Pick: Patrick Reed (+3300)

2021 Masters Odds Tracker

Joaquin Niemann Contending Often This Year

Joaquin Niemann finished in second place at the first two events of the 2021 calendar year, losing a playoff at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and placing T-2 at the Sony Open. Last week at the Genesis Invitational, he was right in the hunt through two days before a rough Saturday did him in.

In his last four opening days and six times in nine events this season, Niemann has posted a score in the 60’s on Thursday, including a share for the lead at the Sony Open. Of those competing this week, he has the fourth best first round scoring average.

In his last 24 rounds on tour, Niemann has been playing strong golf, posting strong numbers across the board in key strokes gained categories.

Joaquin Niemann’s Strokes Gained Rankings In Last 24 Rounds

Total Tee-to-green Ball Striking Off-the-tee Approach Short Game Around-the-green Putting
12 3 3 8 9 20 26 31

For a young superstar in the making who had shot ten straight rounds in the 60’s prior to that stumble Saturday in brutal conditions at Riviera, you’re getting good value on him to continue his strong play.

Pick: Joaquin Niemann (+3700)

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