Pacers vs Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 11, 2021

The Detroit Pistons (6-18) host the Indiana Pacers (12-13) as 3-point underdogs after Jerami Grant scored 32 points in the Pistons’ 122-111 victory over the Nets. The matchup airs on FS-DET at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 11, 2021. The matchup has an over/under set at 219 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of February 11, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Pacers vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 11

Pacers:
T.J. Warren: Out (Foot),
Caris LeVert: Out (Kidney)

Pistons:
Jahlil Okafor: Out (Knee),
Dennis Smith Jr.: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Frank Jackson: Day To Day (Illness),
Killian Hayes: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+3)
Total Pick Over (219)
Prediction Pistons 113, Pacers 112

While FanDuel has the Pacers winning by three, the model has the Pistons taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (3.6 points). Take the Pistons.

The model projects a total 4.8 points higher than the one set by FanDuel for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malcolm Brogdon 25 21.4 4.0 6.6 1.3 0.2 2.6
Domantas Sabonis 25 20.9 11.6 5.4 0.8 0.4 1.0
Caris LeVert 12 18.5 4.3 6.0 1.1 0.5 1.8
Myles Turner 23 13.3 6.6 1.0 1.2 3.5 1.5
Doug McDermott 25 12.9 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.1 1.6

Pacers Player Props

  • Malcolm Brogdon’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 18.5, 2.9 points less than his season average of 21.4.
  • Domantas Sabonis’ PRA prop total for the game is set at 35.5, 2.4 less than his season average of 37.9.
  • Brogdon’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 1.1 shots lower than his season average of 2.6.
  • Myles Turner’s blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 1.0 block lower than his season average of 3.5.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 24 24.3 5.5 3.0 0.8 1.1 2.6
Josh Jackson 22 12.3 3.6 1.9 0.9 1.0 1.5
Blake Griffin 18 12.1 5.4 3.6 0.8 0.2 1.9
Wayne Ellington 17 11.7 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.1
Mason Plumlee 24 9.9 8.8 3.2 1.0 0.7 0.0

Pistons Player Props

  • Grant’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 25.5, 7.3 lower than his season average of 32.8.
  • Delon Wright’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 16.5, 2.8 lower than his season average of 19.3.
  • Wayne Ellington’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.6 shots less than his season average of 3.1.
  • Grant’s blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.6 blocks lower than his season average of 1.1.

Shooting Trends

  • The Pacers make 47.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.2 percentage points lower than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (48.5%).
  • In games Indiana shoots better than 48.5% from the field, it is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
  • Detroit is 5-4-1 against the spread and 4-6 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 47.3% from the field.
  • The Pistons have shot at a 43.3% rate from the field this season, 2.9 percentage points below the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Pacers have averaged.
  • Detroit has compiled a 5-1-1 record against the spread and a 3-4 straight up record in games it shoots above 46.2% from the field.
  • This season, Indiana has a 5-3 record against the spread and a 5-3 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 43.3% from the field.
  • The Pacers shoot 36.7% from three-point range, 2.4% lower than the 39.1% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • Indiana has put together a 6-4 record against the spread and a 6-4 straight-up record in games this season when the team makes more than 39.1% of its three-point shots.
  • Detroit has put up a 5-3 against the spread while going 4-4 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 36.7% from deep.
  • The Pistons are making 35.5% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 3.4 percentage points fewer than the 38.9% the Pacers’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Detroit has an 8-2 ATS record and is 4-6 straight-up when the team hits more than 38.9% of its three-point attempts.
  • Indiana is 5-4 ATS and 5-4 overall in games it shoots over 35.5% from deep.
  • The Pacers hit 12.5 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.3 fewer made shots on average than the 12.8 per game the Pistons give up.
  • Detroit is 9-3-1 against the spread and 5-8 overall when it connects on more three-pointers than its opponents, while Indiana is 6-8 ATS and 7-7 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Pacers make the 18th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Pistons give up the 16th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

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Pacers vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Pacers Rank Pacers AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
16th 112.3 Points Scored 109 24th
16th 111.6 Points Allowed 113.5 22nd
27th 42.5 Rebounds 42.7 17th
24th 8.7 Off. Rebounds 10.7 12th
18th 12.5 3pt Made 12.8 14th
6th 26.7 Assists 24 20th
5th 12.9 Turnovers 13.9 21st

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