UFC 258 Betting Prediction: Brian Kelleher vs. Ricky Simon

Rounding out the early prelims for UFC 258 is a featherweight battle that you could add to your betting list. In this matchup, you will get to see Ricky Simon take on Brian Kelleher.

Date: Sat, Feb 13, 5:30 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: UFC Fight Pass

The Fighters

Ricky Simon (17-3-0)

Simon is currently on a two fight winning streak as he approaches this next fight. He is fresh off of a submission victory against Gaetano Pirrello back in January.

His fighting resume shows that he has five wins by knockout, three by submission, and nine by decision. He also has six first round finishes with a combined effort of knockouts and submissions.

He has a striking accuracy at 42 percent and a grappling accuracy at 53 percent. He lands 3.09 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.41. This ratio is slightly on the negative side, but he has managed to handle it well.

Simon has a takedown defense at 72 percent and a significant strike defense at 63 percent. He also averages 7.07 takedowns and 0.30 submissions every 15 minutes.

Brian Kelleher (22-11-0)

Kelleher is stepping into this matchup while looking to build his winning streak. His last fight was a first round submission victory against Ray Rodriguez back in September of 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has eight wins by knockout, 10 by submission, and four by decision. He also has 10 first round finishes with eight of those being by submission.

“Boom” has a striking accuracy at 40 percent and a grappling accuracy at 25 percent. He lands 4.45 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 5.97. This ratio is a bit on the negative side and could be interesting to watch.

Kelleher has a takedown defense at 72 percent and a significant strike defense at 53 percent. He also averages 1.20 takedowns and 0.80 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has this one moving in Simon’s favor. For the moneyline, Intertops has the odds currently sitting at:

Simon: -250

Kelleher: +190

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Looking at these two on paper, they both provide some interesting stats. This should be a great all out fight with plenty of ground action.

Simon boasts a whopping 7.07 takedowns each fight. Not only that, but his grappling accuracy is at 53 percent so it shows that he is quite aggressive at trying to get his opponents on the ground.

Kelleher has a better significant strike average per minute but his ratio is more on the negative side than Simon’s. Even though he is good at submissions too, his grappling accuracy is not the best and is below 30 percent.

Overall, Simon has a lot of potential to end this fight within the second round or sooner. He will have a quality opponent, but his aggressiveness on takedowns should be interesting to see.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Simon wins via decision, at -250

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