UFC 259 Odds & Predictions: Blachowicz vs Adesanya headlines three title fights
UFC 259 is the third pay-per-view of the year and is a big one with three championship fights. The first sees Petr Yan defending his bantamweight strap against Aljamain Sterling. In the co-main event, the women’s greatest of all time, Amanda Nunes, puts her featherweight belt on the line vs Megan Anderson. Lastly, middleweight champion Israel Adesanya is moving up to challenge Jan Blachowicz for light heavyweight gold.
Looking at the UFC 259 odds, current champions Yan and Nunes are the chalk while the light heavyweight titleholder, Blachowicz, is the betting underdog to challenger Adesanya. We have the full UFC 259 odds and predictions as well as a preview for each fight on the main card below.
It seems that the UFC isn’t giving Jon Jones’ successor an easy first title defense as Jan Blachowicz has his hands full looking for his first five-fight winning streak. Being an underdog isn’t something new for Blachowicz, though, as he was +210 when he beat Dominick Reyes to win the gold at UFC 253.
That same night at UFC 253, Israel Adesanya defended his middleweight belt against Paulo Costa. With his move up to the light heavyweight division, his perfect 20-0 record may be in jeopardy, even if the oddsmakers have him listed as the favorite.
UFC 259 Odds: Blachowicz vs Adesanya
Online sportsbook Bovada has released UFC 259 odds with Israel Adesanya listed as the -265 chalk and Jan Blachowicz coming in as a +205 underdog. This means you would have to wager $265 to profit $100 on an Adesanya victory while a $100 bet on a Blachowicz win would profit you $205.
Looking at the UFC 259 odds for Blachowicz vs Adesanya, our sports betting calculator tells us that Adesanya’s odds of -265 represent an implied win probability of 72.60 percent while Blachowicz’s odds of +205 have an implied win probability of 32.79 percent.
The largest favorite in the UFC 259 odds is in the co-main event with Amanda Nunes listed as a huge -1200 favorite and Megan Anderson set at +700. The tightest line comes in the prelim flyweight fight between Tim Elliott and Jordan Espinosa, a pick‘em with each fighter getting -115 odds.
After beating nearly all of the middleweight contenders and winning the title, the only logical move for Israel “The Last Stylebender” Adesanya (-265) was to try his hand at light heavyweight. Looking to give Adesanya a rude welcome to the new weight class is Jan Blachowicz (+205), who has won eight of his last nine fights.
For more on this fight, see my Blachowicz vs Adesanya odds analysis article.
Arguably the greatest women’s MMA fighter of all time, Amanda “Lioness” Nunes (-1200) looks to extend her 11-fight winning streak and make her second featherweight title defense. Seeking the major upset is Megan Anderson (+700), who has stopped her last two opponents in the first round.
A lengthy winning streak will come to a close between the two best bantamweights in the UFC. Petr “No Mercy” Yan (-145) makes his first title defense since winning the belt last July and puts a nine-fight winning streak on the line. Aljamain “Funk Master” Sterling (+115) has collected five wins in a row with his most recent being a first-round stoppage over top contender Cory Sandhagen.
It has been a long layoff for Islam Makhachev (-340), who hasn’t competed since September 2019 but brings to the Octagon a six-fight winning streak. Drew Dober (+260) has won three straight, picking up two knockout victories in 2020.
Prediction: Islam Makhachev (-340) via submission
Thiago Santos vs Aleksandar Rakic Odds & Prediction
Former light heavyweight title challenger Thiago “Marreta” Santos (+140) looks to get back in the win column for the first time in over two years and is coming off back-to-back defeats. Aiming to pile another loss on Santos’ record is Aleksandar “Rocket” Rakic (-170), who rebounded from a controversial split-decision loss with a decisive win in his last outing in August.
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