UFC Vegas 20 Betting Prediction: Jimmie Rivera vs. Pedro Munhoz

Early in the main card for the next UFC event is a bantamweight battle that you do not want to miss. For this betting matchup, you can check out none other than Pedro Munhoz and Jimmie Rivera.

Date: Sat, Feb 27, 7:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN+

The Fighters

Pedro Munhoz (18-5-0)

Munhoz is coming in ranked as the eighth best fighter from the bantamweight division. He is also on a two fight skid, so he will look to break that streak in this one.

Looking at his fighting resume, it reveals a fairly balanced resume consisting of five wins by knockout, eight by submission, and five by decision. He also has put together eight victories total that have resulted in first round finishes by a combined effort of knockouts and submissions.

“The Young Punisher” strikes with an accuracy at 43 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 21 percent. He delivers 5.53 significant strikes a minute while taking on 6.03. This ratio could be an issue in this fight but it is something he typically carries.

Munhoz defends against takedowns at 80 percent and he defends against significant strikes at 58 percent. He also has been able to average 0.76 takedowns and 0.90 submissions every 15 minutes.

Jimmie Rivera (23-4-0)

Rivera is not far behind Munhoz in the division, as he is currently ranked ninth. He is also coming off of a unanimous decision victory against Cody Stamann back in July of 2020.

Looking at his fighting resume, it shows that he has four wins by knockout, two by submission, and 17 by decision. Looking at his four knockouts, he has two of them that have been first round finishes.

“El Terror” strikes with an accuracy at 41 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 29 percent. He delivers 3.99 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.61. This is a more respectable ratio but nothing too fancy.

Rivera defends against takedowns at 92 percent and defends against significant strikes at 61 percent. He also has been able to average 0.86 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market is having this one coming close. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently placed at:

Munhoz: +126

Rivera: -152

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

These two competed once before against each other back in November of 2015 that resulted in a split decision in Rivera’s favor. A lot has changed since then, so this should be another great battle.

Rivera looks a lot more appealing on paper when comparing stats and resumes. He seems to have every category needed to finish this fight.

Munhoz just appears too much all over the place in order to secure a solid victory. Look for Rivera to drag this one out again and claim the points needed for a decision.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Rivera wins via decision, at -152

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