UFC Vegas 21 Betting Prediction: Darren Stewart vs. Eryk Anders

Opening for the main card in the next UFC event is a middleweight showdown that will help set the tone for the card. In this betting matchup, you will be able to see Eryk Anders take on Darren Stewart.

Date: Sat, Mar 13, 7:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN+

Eryk Anders (13-5-0)

Anders is coming off of a unanimous decision loss to Krzysztof Jotko back in May of 2020. This loss snapped his previous two fight winning streak.

His fighting resume shows that he has eight wins by knockout, one by submission, and four by decision. He also has seven first round finishes with one by submission and six by knockout.

“Ya Boi” has a striking accuracy at 45 percent and a grappling accuracy at 34 percent. He lands 3.02 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 4.18. This ratio is a little on the negative side, showing that he takes on a little more than he delivers.

Anders has a takedown defense at 80 percent and a significant strike defense at 51 percent. He also averages 1.34 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Darren Stewart (12-6-0)

Stewart is coming off of a split decision loss against Kevin Holland back in September of 2020. That fight broke his chances at starting another winning streak from the previous fight.

His fighting resume shows that he has seven wins by knockout, one by submission, and four by decision. He also has five first round finishes with one by submission and four by knockout.

“The Dentist” has a striking accuracy at 44 percent and a grappling accuracy at 40 percent. He lands 3.08 significant strikes and absorbs 2.82. This is a solid ratio but not much room for error.

Stewart has a takedown defense at 66 percent and a significant strike defense at 52 percent. He also averages 1.56 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market is showing this one coming in fairly close. For the moneyline, BetOnline has the odds currently set at:

Anders: +162

Stewart: -187

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

This fight could potentially be a lot closer than the odds are predicting here. Both fighters have similar resumes and make a solid case for winning this fight.

Anders will be able to land significant strikes since he has a decent accuracy and avoid some takedowns with a higher defense there. But his ratio comparing it to Stewart’s will be interesting especially if he cannot defend.

Stewart is also a little more active in landing takedowns each fight. Even though both fighters are not after a submission victory, Stewart has a little bit of a ground pressure.

Overall, Stewart is looking like a solid choice here but only slightly. He presents, on paper at least, the best option out of the two fighters to claim victory.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Stewart wins via decision, at -187

Spooky Express is your UFC Vegas 21 headquarters for Fight Breakdowns, Betting Analysis, Fight FREE PLAYS, DFS Lineup Tips, Sportsbook Bonuses and much more! CLICK HERE to read each individual handicapping breakdowns from this UFC event!

Latest posts