UFC Vegas 21 Betting Prediction: Misha Cirkunov vs. Ryan Spann

If you are looking for a great betting opportunity that also happens to be an exciting fight, then you can look forward to the next UFC event. For the co-main event, there will be a light heavyweight battle between Misha Cirkunov and Ryan Spann for you to check out.

Date: Sat, Mar 13, 7:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN+

Misha Cirkunov (15-5-0)

Cirkunov is coming off of a first round submission victory against Jimmy Crute back in September of 2019. This fight put him back on the winning track after dropping the previous fight before.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, nine by submission, and two by decision. He also has 11 first round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

He has a striking accuracy at 52 percent and a grappling accuracy at 57 percent. He lands 4.18 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.89. This is a solid ratio that shows a clear separation between the two averages.

Cirkunov has a takedown defense at 71 percent and a significant strike defense at 62 percent. He also averages 4.42 takedowns and 2.40 submissions every 15 minutes.

Ryan Spann (18-6-0)

Spann is coming into this one after a first round loss to Johnny Walker back in September of 2020. This fight snapped his previous eight fight winning streak that dated back to 2017.

His fighting resume shows that he has four wins by knockout, 11 by submission, and three by decision. He also has 13 first round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

“Superman” has a striking accuracy at 44 percent and a grappling accuracy at 41 percent. He lands 3.27 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.43. This ratio is almost a one to one here, but he would need to defend better to make this average better.

Spann has a takedown defense at 60 percent and a significant strike defense at 46 percent. He also averages 1.76 takedowns and 1.80 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has this one coming in fairly close. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently sitting at:

Cirkunov: -140

Spann: +110

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both fighters have put up some interesting numbers on their resumes to make a case for their next victory. Each fighter shows off certain strengths and weaknesses.

Spann has a handful of first round finishes and even put together an impressive eight fight winning streak before dropping it in his last fight. His significant strike ratio will be interesting to watch if he cannot be on the positive side of the striking battle.

Overall, this could come down to who executes better offensively and Cirkunov appears to be that fighter who will do this. Look for him to close this out before the third round.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Cirkunov wins via TKO, at -140

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